End of Week Market Thoughts 7th June 2025

As you all should know by now, Silver breaking $35 was the trigger point to the much larger move which now looks to be happening over the summer, and looks to have not been put off to the autumn. Obviously, this is only what it looks like now, and next week it could be all change.

Silver closing the week at 35.967 is a massive deal, and if this were the 30th of June now, then that close would bring in something called macro discretionary funds.

These funds are a type of hedge fund that seeks to profit from large-scale economic and geopolitical trends by making active investment decisions based on human judgment and analysis.

If Silver were to close on 30th June at the price it is today of $35.967, it would be the second highest quarterly close of all time. If it goes up to $37.59, then it would be the highest quarterly close ever. Either of these closes will bring in the big boy money. Which will drive the price up. So, no summer doldrums for Silver if we get either of those closes.

A short bit on the summer doldrums. Vince Lanci did a video this week ridiculing the summer doldrums, and said those of us who say it are wrong. I would bow down to his expertise, except I have experienced it for 4 years now, and vividly experienced it in the last 2 years. So mine may be recency bias, and he should be trusted more imo. So I’m taking back my judgment on that one as new data has come in.

Moving back to Silver. Silver is where Gold was 16 months ago. Gold broke out of its pattern and ran up nearly $1,500, or 75%. I think we have seen the silver low for now on the mid-term, it was $28.33, and that actual low may not be ever hit again if we go on a big enough run, but that’s yet to be seen.

Silver is looking good for next week on the daily, but the 4hr is showing it is going to retrace Monday. My guess (and it is a guess) is that Silver is not done yet, and it will move up next week.

If you look at Gold on the daily, then you will see the 50-day moving average has acted as a support line since October 2023. Gold pierced this MA with a wick on 15th May, and it is only $56 above it now or 1.65%. The weekly MACD looks to be rolling over, and the RSI crossed downwards a few weeks ago, yet the gold price is slightly higher. Which indicates it is tired and wants to go lower. 

But that does not mean it will, but pure technical says the odds are for a move down consolidation only though. The long-term uptrend remains EXTREMELY STRONG. That’s in both Gold and Silver. So any down movements I talk about are on the short or short, short timeframe. Mainly, they are not even on the short timeframe. Short, short being the next 5 to 7 days, short being the next 15 to 20 days, we move into the mid’s after that.

So Gold on the short, short, and short appears to be looking to consolidate or move down slightly. But I don’t think it will be much, as there are too many buyers for that. The manipulators may try to slam again to get out of their short positions, but that will be quickly bought up. So if you are holding rather than going in and out, then you have nothing to get concerned about and can enjoy the summer.

But a little deeper on Gold, the daily looks like it has further to go down, but if you look at the 4hr, then that strong swing down appears to be getting close to being done. 

So if you are working on maximising your gains, then we have to pay a lot more attention. To me right now, both Gold and Silver look relatively good for Monday, but that may only be in the Asian markets, and then they could enter downswings when the US market opens. If we have some nice, reasonable upswings in the Asian and UK hours, then I will take the opportunity to trim some of my positions out of US hours. If Silver is strong, then I will not be trimming any Silver stocks at that time. 

When the US market opens, I am thinking to continue to trim and follow the market, stop trimming if it's bullish, trim a bit harder if it is slightly bearish, and trim hard if it’s very bearish.

This particular move has in the past cost me more than I have made in the act of doing it, and on more occasions than I have made money. However, the last time I did it, a week or so ago, I got it right and was able to buy back most stocks at a lower price. It is not a move for the faint-hearted, though. It also involved me buying back several stocks at a higher price than I got out of. 

This is actually a key ego trap to get past. 

Our egos want to throw rocks at us here for our poor choice of getting out and not getting back in at the right time. We need to learn to get past our ego here and instead look at the market in the moment we are in. 

So when our ego throws up the ‘you dumbass’ line, this becomes the pattern interrupt to in that moment, listen to your intuition and say to yourself, “that was then, this is now, is this a good enough use of my money today?” Then listen for your intuition to guide you.

This is guerrilla warfare against your ego. You are using its strength against it, that’s IF you can master this seemingly tiny, but all-powerful mindset hack.   

Now moving to the miners… 

If you look at the GDX on the weekly, we have a ‘Gravestone Doji’ candle. 

Look at your cheat sheet. What does that indicate? 

Clearly, the word gravestone should give it away Sherlock, but it is good to recognise these candles when they are presented to us. Why Nicola, because a pattern is far easier to remember than some phrase like macro discretionary funds, and it aids in better decision making and making more money. 

So, look at your cheat sheet. And even though I shouldn’t need to do this as your cheat sheet should be up on a tab all the time, here it is again: 

GDX looks even worse on the 1day chart, doji candle on Wednesday, followed by two down days, then MACD rolling over, and RSI turned down. This all says short, short-term correction to me.

So trimming gets stronger. But the way the market moves is when silver goes, it pulls gold up with it. So that characteristic is also in play. We have a lot going on regarding market direction this week!!!

Which means it comes right down to your comfort zone. 

Because if you are mainly in, say, 80-90% in, and showing good profits, then your positions are good. But the odds are strongly in favour of short, short-term downside. Will you be able to get out and come back in and not be in a worse position?

I’ve done this maybe 10-15 times now, and I have succeeded with it on 3 occasions that I can remember. So, what is your comfort zone? Giving back profits that YOU WILL later see again, as we are in a long-term uptrend - that’s if you stay in. 

Or taking some of the profits you made out to only maybe get back into the position, at all, or potentially at a higher place. Or are you not able to watch the profits leave the building and ignore the potential costs…

Whichever way you choose, the important thing to remember is:

This is a game, the secret is to remain in the game. You are learning to play the game better; you do not need to win every fight to win the game, but to win the game, you need to stay in the game, and the nature of the game is to want to become a better player. So, risks can be taken to become a better player.

So with that in mind, if your solution is to hold, sell, or trim. Then why not do hold, sell, or trim on a percentage basis instead? Say either 20%, as a minimum or 33%, or 50%. That’s what I’ll be doing. All or nothing does not make you a better player; anyone can get lucky and draw the wrong conclusion from their luck. 

To finish off, Silver has begun its move, and the next two months look very good, so we are only playing with short, and short, short-term timeframes.

I’ve waffled enough…

Have a good weekend,

Andy

P.S. I start the next event next week, so next weekend my update will probably be one paragraph unless there is something I have to talk about.

END
I send these out weekly, some are longer, some are shorter - dependent on news and the market. When I am travelling, they are more abbreviated

The date I added this image was Monday, 15th September.

I expect "The Dynamic Duo" to achieve 100%+ between the last week of September 2025 and the first week of October.

Turns out, one of the Duo had left it to the other one to do, and the other one felt a bit lost, so finally reached out, and I gave her some directions, which has put her back on the path to successfully achieving this first Way Point!

Which will mean... 100% of the students who engaged in this challenge will have gotten 100% of their costs to attend back. Which I think is pretty darn cool. I have never seen this achieved in ANY make money course ever before.

Currently, 50% of the people who attended the second event in Hampshire, UK, have already covered their full costs to attend back, and they have done so in less time than the Mexico attendees did.